Leatherhead 1-2 Hastings United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

Leatherhead
1-2
Hastings United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Leatherhead vs Hastings United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leatherhead v Hastings United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leatherhead EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hastings United EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Leatherhead vs Hastings United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hastings United squeezed past Leatherhead 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Hastings United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Leatherhead vs Hastings United?

Leatherhead 1-2 Hastings United in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leatherhead vs Hastings United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hastings United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leatherhead 31%, draw 29%, Hastings United 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hastings United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hastings United) ✗ Under 2.5
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