Folkestone Invicta 8-1 Ascot United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folkestone Invicta EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascot United EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Folkestone Invicta vs Ascot United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folkestone Invicta ran out comfortable winners over Ascot United 8-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Folkestone Invicta as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Folkestone Invicta vs Ascot United?

Folkestone Invicta 8-1 Ascot United in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folkestone Invicta vs Ascot United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folkestone Invicta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Folkestone Invicta 54%, draw 24%, Ascot United 21%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Folkestone Invicta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Folkestone Invicta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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