Ashford Utd 1-0 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
17%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.4pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashford Utd EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ashford Utd vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashford Utd squeezed past Walton & Hersham 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Walton & Hersham at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ashford Utd vs Walton & Hersham?

Ashford Utd 1-0 Walton & Hersham in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashford Utd vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ashford Utd 25%, draw 19%, Walton & Hersham 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNFAT More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024
00:00 Belper Town vs Leicester Road Analysis →
17:00 Leatherhead vs Hastings United Analysis →
17:00 Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
17:00 Lewes vs Bracknell Town Analysis →
17:00 Frome Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Gloucester City vs Wimborne Town Analysis →