Basford United 2-2 Hanley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Basford United win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanley Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Hanley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United and Hanley Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. Basford United carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Hanley Town?

Basford United 2-2 Hanley Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Hanley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Basford United 56%, draw 23%, Hanley Town 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Basford United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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