05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Belper Town vs Hinckley LR Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
21%
24%
Away Win
18%
44%
Under 2.5
41%
56%
Over 2.5
59%
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
50%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belper Town v Hinckley LR — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Belper Town
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hinckley LR
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
356 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
285 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Belper Town vs Hinckley LR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Belper Town saw off Hinckley LR 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belper Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Belper Town vs Hinckley LR?
Belper Town 3-1 Hinckley LR in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belper Town vs Hinckley LR?
Before kick-off our model rated a Belper Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Belper Town 51%, draw 25%, Hinckley LR 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belper Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Belper Town)
✓ Over 2.5
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024