05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Bowers&Pitsea vs Real Bedford Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
29%
Draw
23%
26%
Away Win
25%
46%
Under 2.5
39%
54%
Over 2.5
61%
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
44%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bowers&Pitsea v Real Bedford — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bowers&Pitsea
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Real Bedford
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
347 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
316 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bowers&Pitsea vs Real Bedford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bowers&Pitsea cruised past Real Bedford 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bowers&Pitsea as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bowers&Pitsea vs Real Bedford?
Bowers&Pitsea 3-0 Real Bedford in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bowers&Pitsea vs Real Bedford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bowers&Pitsea win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bowers&Pitsea 45%, draw 29%, Real Bedford 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bowers&Pitsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bowers&Pitsea)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024