Chasetown 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over Pick
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chasetown EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chasetown vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chasetown nicked a narrow win over Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Chasetown found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chasetown vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Chasetown 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chasetown vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bromsgrove Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chasetown 31%, draw 29%, Bromsgrove Sporting 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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