Chatham 1-0 Wingate & Finchley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

Chatham
1-0
Wingate & Finchley
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chatham v Wingate & Finchley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chatham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wingate & Finchley EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chatham squeezed past Wingate & Finchley 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chatham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?

Chatham 1-0 Wingate & Finchley in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wingate & Finchley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chatham 38%, draw 24%, Wingate & Finchley 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Wingate & Finchley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wingate & Finchley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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