Chertsey Town 1-1 Billericay Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.51
Over Pick
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
31%
4-5
30%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.0pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Billericay Town EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Billericay Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town and Billericay Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Billericay Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Billericay Town?

Chertsey Town 1-1 Billericay Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Billericay Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Billericay Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 34%, draw 17%, Billericay Town 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Billericay Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Billericay Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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