Chichester 2-0 Herne Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.59
Over
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chichester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Herne Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chichester
2-0
AWAY Herne Bay
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chichester vs Herne Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chichester got the better of Herne Bay 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Chichester made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chichester had 54% of the ball to Herne Bay's 46%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Chichester vs Herne Bay?

Chichester 2-0 Herne Bay in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chichester vs Herne Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chichester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chichester 40%, draw 29%, Herne Bay 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chichester), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chichester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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