05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Clitheroe vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
25%
Draw
25%
35%
Away Win
39%
45%
Under 2.5
44%
55%
Over 2.5
56%
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
44%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Clitheroe v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Clitheroe
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lancaster City
EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
284 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
385 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Clitheroe vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Clitheroe beat Lancaster City 2-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Clitheroe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Clitheroe vs Lancaster City?
Clitheroe 2-0 Lancaster City in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Clitheroe vs Lancaster City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Clitheroe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Clitheroe 40%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clitheroe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Clitheroe)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024