05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Dartford vs Dulwich Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
24%
33%
Away Win
30%
46%
Under 2.5
38%
54%
Over 2.5
62%
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
41%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dartford v Dulwich — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dartford
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dulwich
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
+66%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
395 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dartford vs Dulwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dulwich nicked a narrow win over Dartford 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Dulwich made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dartford vs Dulwich?
Dartford 0-1 Dulwich in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dartford vs Dulwich?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dartford win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dartford 40%, draw 27%, Dulwich 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Dartford)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024