Dover Athletic 3-0 Cheshunt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.59
Over Pick
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheshunt EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cheshunt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-3 HT 0-0 Cheshunt Cheshunt İCON
06.12.2022 Cheshunt Cheshunt 2-0 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Cheshunt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dover Athletic swept aside Cheshunt 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dover Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cheshunt led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dover Athletic and 2.50 for Cheshunt.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Cheshunt?

Dover Athletic 3-0 Cheshunt in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Cheshunt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dover Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 49%, draw 26%, Cheshunt 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dover Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dover Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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