05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Hadley vs Carshalton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
26%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
37%
41%
Under 2.5
40%
59%
Over 2.5
60%
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
48%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hadley v Carshalton Athletic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hadley
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Carshalton Athletic
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
344 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hadley vs Carshalton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hadley got the better of Carshalton Athletic 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hadley as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Hadley vs Carshalton Athletic?
Hadley 3-1 Carshalton Athletic in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hadley vs Carshalton Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hadley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hadley 45%, draw 26%, Carshalton Athletic 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hadley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hadley)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024