Ilkeston Town 2-3 Coleshill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleshill EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Coleshill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleshill nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Coleshill?

Ilkeston Town 2-3 Coleshill in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Coleshill?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 53%, draw 21%, Coleshill 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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