Kettering Town 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.23
Over Pick
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 24%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+147% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity saw off Kettering Town 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kettering Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Kettering Town 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 51%, draw 22%, Gainsborough Trinity 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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