Leek Town 0-1 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over Pick
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
04.09.2021 Leek Town Leek Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Mickleover Sports FAK
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mickleover Sports nicked a narrow win over Leek Town 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mickleover Sports as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mickleover Sports led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leek Town and 2.50 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Leek Town 0-1 Mickleover Sports in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 32%, draw 24%, Mickleover Sports 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mickleover Sports) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNFAT More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024
00:00 Belper Town vs Leicester Road Analysis →
17:00 Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
17:00 Lewes vs Bracknell Town Analysis →
17:00 Frome Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Gloucester City vs Wimborne Town Analysis →
17:00 Folkestone Invicta vs Ascot United Analysis →