05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Maldon vs Canvey Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
21%
Draw
23%
51%
Away Win
54%
42%
Under 2.5
41%
58%
Over 2.5
59%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maldon v Canvey Island — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Maldon
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Canvey Island
EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
254 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
417 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Maldon vs Canvey Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Canvey Island squeezed past Maldon 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Canvey Island as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Maldon vs Canvey Island?
Maldon 1-2 Canvey Island in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maldon vs Canvey Island?
Before kick-off our model rated an Canvey Island win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maldon 28%, draw 21%, Canvey Island 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canvey Island), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Canvey Island)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024