05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Marlow vs Biggleswade Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
29%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
38%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
46%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marlow v Biggleswade — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marlow
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Biggleswade
EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
334 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Marlow vs Biggleswade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Biggleswade nicked a narrow win over Marlow 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Biggleswade found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Marlow vs Biggleswade?
Marlow 0-1 Biggleswade in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marlow vs Biggleswade?
Before kick-off our model rated an Biggleswade win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marlow 33%, draw 29%, Biggleswade 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Biggleswade) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Biggleswade)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024