Mousehole 0-2 Bristol Manor Farm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mousehole EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Manor Farm EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mousehole vs Bristol Manor Farm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Manor Farm saw off Mousehole 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mousehole at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Mousehole vs Bristol Manor Farm?

Mousehole 0-2 Bristol Manor Farm in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mousehole vs Bristol Manor Farm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mousehole win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mousehole 44%, draw 27%, Bristol Manor Farm 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mousehole) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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