Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.18
Over
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
224 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway edged past Banbury United 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Plymouth Parkway made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Banbury United?

Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Banbury United in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 39%, draw 26%, Banbury United 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Parkway), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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