05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Potters Bar vs Whitehawk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
23%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
36%
47%
Under 2.5
44%
53%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
50%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Potters Bar v Whitehawk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Potters Bar
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Whitehawk
EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+50%
/
+49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
237 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
280 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Potters Bar vs Whitehawk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Potters Bar edged past Whitehawk 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Potters Bar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Potters Bar vs Whitehawk?
Potters Bar 2-1 Whitehawk in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Potters Bar vs Whitehawk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Potters Bar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Potters Bar 42%, draw 23%, Whitehawk 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Potters Bar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Potters Bar)
✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024