Spalding United 1-2 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

Spalding United
1-2
Alvechurch
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Alvechurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Alvechurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch squeezed past Spalding United 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Alvechurch made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

Spalding United 1-2 Alvechurch in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 34%, draw 33%, Alvechurch 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/33/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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