Stamford 1-5 Anstey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.21
Over Pick
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Anstey EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Anstey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anstey ran out comfortable winners over Stamford 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stamford at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Anstey?

Stamford 1-5 Anstey in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Anstey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stamford 55%, draw 22%, Anstey 23%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stamford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stamford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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