Stourbridge vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stourbridge v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals
Stourbridge vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Matlock Town
FAK
Stourbridge 3-0 Matlock Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stourbridge swept aside Matlock Town 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stourbridge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Stourbridge had 56% of the ball to Matlock Town's 44%, shots finished 11-4.
What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Matlock Town?
Stourbridge 3-0 Matlock Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Matlock Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 44%, draw 24%, Matlock Town 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.