Taunton Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Taunton Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taunton Town nicked a narrow win over Basingstoke Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Taunton Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Taunton Town 1-0 Basingstoke Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taunton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 42%, draw 26%, Basingstoke Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taunton Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Taunton Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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