Trafford vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trafford v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Trafford 2-5 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Ashton United ran out comfortable winners over Trafford 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Trafford had 50% of the ball to Ashton United's 50%, shots finished 8-16.
What was the final score of Trafford vs Ashton United?
Trafford 2-5 Ashton United in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trafford vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trafford 35%, draw 21%, Ashton United 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.