Uxbridge 3-2 Thame United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.5pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uxbridge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Thame United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Uxbridge vs Thame United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uxbridge squeezed past Thame United 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uxbridge as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Uxbridge vs Thame United?

Uxbridge 3-2 Thame United in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uxbridge vs Thame United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uxbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uxbridge 43%, draw 25%, Thame United 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uxbridge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uxbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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