Whitby Town 0-1 Newton Aycliffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newton Aycliffe EU Bookmakers 18%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+126% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Newton Aycliffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newton Aycliffe squeezed past Whitby Town 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Whitby Town carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Newton Aycliffe?

Whitby Town 0-1 Newton Aycliffe in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Newton Aycliffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 62%, draw 16%, Newton Aycliffe 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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