Workington vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Workington v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Workington vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Workington
İNGNLP
Workington saw off Morpeth Town 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Workington as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Workington and 2.50 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Workington 3-1 Morpeth Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Workington 42%, draw 22%, Morpeth Town 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Workington), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.