Worksop Town 2-1 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
26%
5.28
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.96
Over Pick
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-19.4pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
2-1
AWAY St Ives Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town nicked a narrow win over St Ives Town 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Worksop Town had 64% of the ball to St Ives Town's 36%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs St Ives Town?

Worksop Town 2-1 St Ives Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 54%, draw 26%, St Ives Town 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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