05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Yate Town vs Melksham Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
21%
Draw
20%
22%
Away Win
14%
43%
Under 2.5
40%
57%
Over 2.5
60%
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
48%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yate Town v Melksham — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yate Town
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Melksham
EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
441 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Yate Town vs Melksham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yate Town swept aside Melksham 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yate Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Yate Town vs Melksham?
Yate Town 3-0 Melksham in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yate Town vs Melksham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yate Town 57%, draw 21%, Melksham 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yate Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Yate Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
5 Oct 2024