Utsiktens BK 4-0 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.25
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
7.29
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.82/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.81
+36% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
31.07.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
21.05.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
4-0
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK cruised past Helsingborgs IF 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 47% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 53%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utsiktens BK and 0.67 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Utsiktens BK 4-0 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 29%, draw 27%, Helsingborgs IF 44%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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