Varbergs 1-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 5 Oct 2024

Varbergs
1-1 HT 0-1
Örebro
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.96
X/2
14%
6.2
X/X
7%
4.21
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.53
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
1.19/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.54
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Varbergs vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and Örebro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Örebro?

Varbergs 1-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 39%, draw 27%, Örebro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Varbergs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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