Vasalund IF 2-2 Friska Viljor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-11.2pp
14%
Draw
13%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.89/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.25
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
512 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
2-2
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Friska Viljor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF and Friska Viljor FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vasalund IF at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 60% of the ball to Friska Viljor FC's 40%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Friska Viljor FC?

Vasalund IF 2-2 Friska Viljor FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Friska Viljor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 69%, draw 14%, Friska Viljor FC 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasalund IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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