Umea FC 2-4 Stockholm Internazionale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.53/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.17
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 1-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
20.08.2023 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
30.07.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 4-3 HT 2-2 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
25.09.2022 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
01.05.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
2-4
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Stockholm Internazionale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockholm Internazionale beat Umea FC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockholm Internazionale as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Umea FC had 47% of the ball to Stockholm Internazionale's 53%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stockholm Internazionale led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Umea FC and 2.00 for Stockholm Internazionale.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Stockholm Internazionale?

Umea FC 2-4 Stockholm Internazionale in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Stockholm Internazionale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockholm Internazionale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 32%, draw 20%, Stockholm Internazionale 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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