Tvaaker 0-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.16/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.12
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lunds BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
21.10.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 2-1 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
13.08.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
02.04.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 4-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
29.05.2021 Lunds BK Lunds BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
0-1
AWAY Lunds BK
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK edged past Tvaaker 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lunds BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tvaaker had 55% of the ball to Lunds BK's 45%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lunds BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tvaaker and 0.67 for Lunds BK.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Lunds BK?

Tvaaker 0-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 33%, draw 29%, Lunds BK 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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