Österlen 0-3 Lödde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.6pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lödde EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +96%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lödde
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.06.2024 Lödde 0-4 HT 0-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Lödde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lödde ran out comfortable winners over Österlen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Österlen at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Lödde?

Österlen 0-3 Lödde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Lödde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Österlen 61%, draw 18%, Lödde 20%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Österlen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
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