Bergdalens 1-2 Savedalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.7pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Savedalen EU Bookmakers 38%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +1%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.96
+123% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergdalens
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Savedalen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
20.06.2024 Savedalen Savedalen 5-2 HT 2-1 Bergdalens İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergdalens
1-2
AWAY Savedalen
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Savedalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Savedalen edged past Bergdalens 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 19% / 40% — and on the day Savedalen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Bergdalens had 34% of the ball to Savedalen's 66%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Savedalen?

Bergdalens 1-2 Savedalen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Savedalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergdalens win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 40%, draw 19%, Savedalen 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/19/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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