Ytterhogdal 2-0 Kiruna FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.7pp
31%
Draw
21%
+10.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.0pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.45/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.41
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ytterhogdal
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kiruna FF
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.06.2024 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
30.09.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 7-1 HT 3-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
27.05.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
03.09.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 0-0 HT 0-0 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ytterhogdal vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ytterhogdal got the better of Kiruna FF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ytterhogdal as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ytterhogdal and 1.00 for Kiruna FF.

What was the final score of Ytterhogdal vs Kiruna FF?

Ytterhogdal 2-0 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ytterhogdal vs Kiruna FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ytterhogdal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ytterhogdal 47%, draw 31%, Kiruna FF 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ytterhogdal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ytterhogdal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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