IK Gauthiod 1-3 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.63
Over 2.5
70%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.1pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
30%
Under 2.5
34%
-3.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
66%
+3.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.1pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.36/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.11
-20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.06.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 3-1 HT 2-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Gauthiod
1-3
AWAY Motala AIF FK
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK got the better of IK Gauthiod 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was IK Gauthiod at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IK Gauthiod had 33% of the ball to Motala AIF FK's 67%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Motala AIF FK?

IK Gauthiod 1-3 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Gauthiod win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 45%, draw 17%, Motala AIF FK 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Gauthiod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Gauthiod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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