Real Sociedad III 1-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.86/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.20
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.3 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Calahorra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
159 Passes 303
55% Pass Accuracy 69%
7 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
22.10.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
1-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III and CD Calahorra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Calahorra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 53% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 47%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad III and 1.00 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra?

Real Sociedad III 1-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Calahorra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 28%, draw 29%, CD Calahorra 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Calahorra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Calahorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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