Real Sociedad III 1-2 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.44/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.79
+42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.7 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Calahorra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.91 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
159 Passes 303
55% Pass Accuracy 69%
7 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
1-2
AWAY CD Calahorra
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Calahorra edged past Real Sociedad III 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; CD Calahorra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 52% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra?

Real Sociedad III 1-2 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Calahorra win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 31%, draw 34%, CD Calahorra 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Calahorra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Calahorra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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