Sion 1-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Sion
1-1 HT 0-1
Yverdon
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
13%
3.66
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
9%
9.56
2/X
6%
17.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.73
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
25.7 Crosses 11.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
1-1
AWAY Yverdon
2.76 xG 0.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
386 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 14
47 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sion vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion and Yverdon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sion at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sion had 55% of the ball to Yverdon's 45%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.76 to 0.15.

What was the final score of Sion vs Yverdon?

Sion 1-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sion 55%, draw 25%, Yverdon 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sion), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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