Luzern 2-2 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.59/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.38
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.3 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
07.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.01.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.05.2022 Luzern Luzern 3-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.02.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
2-2
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.69 xG 1.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
304 Passes 294
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Luzern had 52% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 48%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.69 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 0.83 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Luzern 2-2 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Luzern 49%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sports 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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