Winterthur 1-0 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.79
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
10%
6.88
X/2
13%
4.82
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
16%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.12/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.85
-10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.8 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.08.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 3-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
12.03.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
15.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-0
AWAY Grasshoppers
0.66 xG 1.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 497
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur edged past Grasshoppers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Winterthur found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Winterthur had 42% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 58%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.66 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Winterthur and 0.83 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Grasshoppers?

Winterthur 1-0 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 35%, draw 27%, Grasshoppers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grasshoppers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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