Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
14%
3.95
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
13%
3.73
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
15%
7.11
2/X
5%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +25%
1.58/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
26.5 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
240 Passes 249
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
06.08.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
05.09.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 4-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
05.10.2019 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
06.10.2018 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.10.2017 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 3-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.99 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
289 Passes 152
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
14 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz squeezed past Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia La Plata at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 61% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 39%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.99 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.83 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Godoy Cruz?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 45%, draw 27%, Godoy Cruz 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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