Newells Old Boys 2-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.36
X/X
14%
3.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.22
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.90/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.17
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.2 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lanus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Lanus Lanus 0-2 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
27.08.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.05.2023 Lanus Lanus 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.08.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
20.09.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-2 HT 1-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
13.04.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-3 HT 1-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
2-1
AWAY Lanus
1.58 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
232 Passes 365
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys edged past Lanus 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 41% of the ball to Lanus's 59%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.58 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.50 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

Newells Old Boys 2-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 36%, draw 32%, Lanus 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newells Old Boys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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