Huracan 3-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.33
Over 2.5
29%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.81
No
64%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
71%
Under 2.5
72%
-0.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
28%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.3pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.42/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.33
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
25.5 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.41 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 174
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
13.08.2022 Huracan Huracan 4-1 HT 2-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
13.09.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
13.04.2021 Huracan Huracan 3-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
25.09.2016 Huracan Huracan 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
17.10.2015 Huracan Huracan 3-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
3-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.85 xG 0.13
76% Ball Possession 24%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
531 Passes 104
86% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 2
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huracan vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan got the better of CA Sarmiento 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Huracan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huracan had 76% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 24%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 0.85 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huracan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Huracan and 0.17 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Huracan vs CA Sarmiento?

Huracan 3-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huracan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huracan 45%, draw 33%, CA Sarmiento 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huracan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huracan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
5 Oct 2024
01:00 Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago Analysis →
21:00 Velez Sarsfield vs Racing Club Analysis →
23:30 Gimnasia La Plata vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →
23:30 Newells Old Boys vs Lanus Analysis →