Torpedo Zhodino 2-2 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.91
-6% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gomel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
04.11.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
11.06.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
08.10.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 1-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
29.06.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
28.08.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2-2
AWAY Gomel
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino and Gomel shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 56% of the ball to Gomel's 44%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 0.50 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs Gomel?

Torpedo Zhodino 2-2 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 44%, draw 27%, Gomel 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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